Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 927.416829 1052.606743 1193.076267 1363.255246 1565.027634 1798.083901 2089.761527
2025-05-04 748.128045 913.080340 1116.210309 1388.425706 1749.356934 2219.785518 2893.420604
2025-05-11 653.375575 833.074813 1067.328332 1401.942430 1879.340668 2554.975548 3620.070865
2025-05-18 598.545349 791.636832 1055.794385 1454.623620 2062.042133 2989.224805 4591.101725
2025-05-25 548.593887 747.486514 1030.572976 1478.281637 2199.384081 3375.852171 5585.270165
2025-06-01 502.223876 701.488236 994.704282 1477.199929 2293.185193 3705.956789 6571.067138
2025-06-08 462.615250 660.271160 959.739881 1470.241032 2372.600934 4023.246149 7625.031163
2025-06-15 437.278016 637.480918 949.692937 1501.096422 2520.656998 4495.540795 9156.454621
2025-06-22 399.847899 591.999489 898.072770 1453.039179 2514.627650 4663.336776 10058.314456
2025-06-29 368.675864 553.642336 854.079022 1412.320491 2514.879916 4842.424122 11051.828032
2025-07-06 340.105196 517.114470 809.603048 1365.001485 2493.872523 4970.031025 11959.649631
2025-07-13 329.720480 509.714471 814.075479 1409.302124 2667.798928 5580.209812 14495.353188
2025-07-20 314.091026 492.926134 801.764666 1422.404441 2784.002201 6100.347819 17094.960532
2025-07-27 300.988883 479.539865 794.489474 1445.156007 2928.010779 6739.085270 20515.446429
2025-08-03 288.155254 465.444928 784.297569 1460.103800 3056.246476 7374.859480 24378.906092
2025-08-10 281.372414 461.538261 792.722040 1515.408109 3294.099937 8407.106214 30753.831318
2025-08-17 271.513813 451.184418 787.631413 1540.344309 3460.472781 9284.706707 37308.816118
2025-08-24 259.624391 436.151847 771.914137 1539.199865 3557.781151 9976.075225 43675.054201
2025-08-31 248.075402 420.935820 754.485340 1531.873836 3637.076179 10638.780098 50704.903288
2025-09-07 241.276980 414.286182 753.894775 1564.364952 3837.773960 11832.300974 62930.147067
2025-09-14 227.288841 392.805550 720.774552 1513.763691 3782.229793 12015.362529 68159.094258
2025-09-21 215.030875 374.014021 691.989617 1470.906629 3743.505604 12260.822340 74397.133040
2025-09-28 203.039215 355.099328 661.669188 1421.122925 3675.137867 12363.895836 79707.270302